What markets are included in the Venezia vs Napoli prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Venezia vs Napoli prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Napoli

Venezia vs Napoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-16 11:30

Venezia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Napoli

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

27%

49%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Napoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia

LLWDL

Napoli

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Napoli averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

27%

Away Win

49%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Venezia 0 - 0 Napoli Draw

Dec 2024 Venezia(A) 0 - 1 Napoli Away

Feb 2022 Venezia 0 - 2 Napoli Away

Aug 2021 Venezia(A) 0 - 2 Napoli Away

In the last 4 meetings, Venezia won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0

Venezia — scoring streak (home)2

Napoli — winless run (away)1

Napoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)24%

Draw (X)27%

Napoli Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 21%

68% -1.5 63%

95% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Napoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89

Venezia — conceded (home)1.16

Napoli — scored (away)1.42

Napoli — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%

Napoli — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.5

Napoli (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia

9 6 6 16 12

Napoli

7 7 8 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Napoli (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1

Napoli — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9

Napoli — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box4.21

Napoli

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target25%

H. Nicolussi

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Duncan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target6%

G. Oristanio

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Fila

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Napoli

C. Ngonge

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Billing

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99

Napoli xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 54.55%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Napoli

77.79% Pass accuracy 86.08%

359.11 Passes per match 485.32

0.04 Goals prevented 0.04

13.24 Fouls committed 10.92

3.7 Goalkeeper saves 1.92

1.57 Offsides 1.49

15.95 Tackles per match 14.08

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Napoli prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Napoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights