Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Parma

Venezia vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2024-11-09 14:00
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Parma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia
LLWDL
Parma
WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Venezia(A) 1 - 1 Parma Draw
Nov 2024 Venezia 1 - 2 Parma Away
Feb 2024 Venezia(A) 1 - 2 Parma Away
Oct 2023 Venezia 3 - 2 Parma Home
May 2023 Venezia(A) 1 - 2 Parma Away

In the last 5 meetings, Venezia won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0
Venezia — scoring streak (home)2
Parma — winless run (away)0
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)39%
Draw (X)27%
Parma Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 63%
32% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 37%
68% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89
Venezia — conceded (home)1.16
Parma — scored (away)1
Parma — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia
9 6 6 16 12
Parma
6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1
Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9
Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Parma

Inside the box6.61
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
S. Sohm
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99
Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Parma

77.79% Pass accuracy 79.68%
359.11 Passes per match 383
0.04 Goals prevented -0.14
13.24 Fouls committed 10.66
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.57 Offsides 0.82
15.95 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top