Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen

Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-13 15:30
Verl
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
77%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Rot-Weiß Essen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
20%
2
29%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Verl (Home)

Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate58%

Rot-Weiß Essen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match2.32
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate89%

Team Form last 5 matches

Verl
WLWLW
Rot-Weiß Essen
WWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 89%
79% +1.5 63%
47% +2.5 42%
32% +3.5 11%
11% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 89%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 77%. Model confidence is High.

Verl averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Rot-Weiß Essen averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
20%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 Verl(A) 0 - 1 Rot-Weiß Essen Away
Dec 2025 Verl 0 - 0 Rot-Weiß Essen Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Verl won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Verl — unbeaten run (home)3
Verl — scoring streak (home)10
Rot-Weiß Essen — winless run (away)0
Rot-Weiß Essen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Verl Win (1)51%
Draw (X)20%
Rot-Weiß Essen Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 89%
79% +1.5 63%
47% +2.5 42%
32% +3.5 11%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 11%
21% -1.5 37%
53% -2.5 58%
68% -3.5 89%
89% -4.5 100%

Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Verl — scored (home)2.63
Verl — conceded (home)0.95
Rot-Weiß Essen — scored (away)2.05
Rot-Weiß Essen — conceded (away)2.32
Model expected combined goals4.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

Verl — BTTS matches (home)58%
Rot-Weiß Essen — BTTS matches (away)89%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.580%
Under 4.520%
Over 5.573%
Under 5.527%
Over 6.567%
Under 6.533%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Verl (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.9

Rot-Weiß Essen (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Verl
4 10 0 0 0
Rot-Weiß Essen
0 17 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Verl (home)

For1.8

Rot-Weiß Essen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Verl — total shots (home)17.3
Rot-Weiß Essen — total shots (away)14.8

Shots on Target

Verl — on target (home)6.0
Rot-Weiß Essen — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Verl

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box5.89

Rot-Weiß Essen

Inside the box8.71
Outside the box6.58

Player Shots Verl

A. Besio
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target41%
B. Taz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Arweiler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Mhamdi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Gayret
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Rot-Weiß Essen

A. Arslan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
M. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Mizuta
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Abiama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target36%
L. Brumme
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Verl xG (home)1.63
Rot-Weiß Essen xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

65.93% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen

86.85% Pass accuracy 80.08%
594 Passes per match 384.71
0 Goals prevented 0
9.63 Fouls committed 11.21
2.67 Goalkeeper saves 2.96
2.33 Offsides 1.33
2.4 Tackles per match 2.77

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction analysis

Review Verl vs Rot-Weiß Essen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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