Prediction Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-10-05
13:30
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Prediction Summary
1
59%
X
22%
2
19%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfB Stuttgart (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate41%
1. FC Heidenheim (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart
DWDDL
1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
65%
47%
+1.5
29%
35%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfB Stuttgart averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
59%
Draw
22%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
VfB Stuttgart(A)
3 - 3
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
Oct 2025
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 0
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Apr 2025
VfB Stuttgart
0 - 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Dec 2024
VfB Stuttgart(A)
3 - 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Mar 2024
VfB Stuttgart
3 - 3
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
VfB Stuttgart — unbeaten run (home)3
VfB Stuttgart — scoring streak (home)3
1. FC Heidenheim — winless run (away)0
1. FC Heidenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfB Stuttgart Win (1)59%
Draw (X)22%
1. FC Heidenheim Win (2)19%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
65%
47%
+1.5
29%
35%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
35%
53%
-1.5
71%
65%
-2.5
88%
88%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfB Stuttgart — scored (home)1.76
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (home)0.94
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (away)1.06
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.91
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (home)41%
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against4.0
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfB Stuttgart
14
16
9
13
12
1. FC Heidenheim
9
12
18
10
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
VfB Stuttgart (home)
For1.9
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
For1.7
Shots per Game
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (home)16.7
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
VfB Stuttgart — on target (home)6.2
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10
Outside the box5.24
1. FC Heidenheim
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. El Khannouss
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim
B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart xG (home)1.77
1. FC Heidenheim xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
57.68%
Possession
42.26%
Team Comparison VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim
83.71%
Pass accuracy
75.88%
517.09
Passes per match
362.38
0.29
Goals prevented
-0.01
9.62
Fouls committed
9.82
3.21
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
2.16
Offsides
2.06
14.24
Tackles per match
15.41
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction analysis
Review VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights