Prediction Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-12-06
14:30
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bayern München
Away
Prediction Summary
1
30%
X
23%
2
47%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfB Stuttgart (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate41%
Bayern München (Away)
Goals scored / match3.18
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate76%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart
DWDDL
Bayern München
WWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
100%
47%
+1.5
88%
35%
+2.5
76%
12%
+3.5
35%
0%
+4.5
18%
41%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfB Stuttgart averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Bayern München averages 3.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
30%
Draw
23%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
VfB Stuttgart(A)
0 - 3
Bayern München
Away
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart(A)
2 - 4
Bayern München
Away
Dec 2025
VfB Stuttgart
0 - 5
Bayern München
Away
Feb 2025
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 3
Bayern München
Away
Oct 2024
VfB Stuttgart(A)
0 - 4
Bayern München
Away
In the last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
VfB Stuttgart — unbeaten run (home)3
VfB Stuttgart — scoring streak (home)3
Bayern München — winless run (away)0
Bayern München — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfB Stuttgart Win (1)30%
Draw (X)23%
Bayern München Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
100%
47%
+1.5
88%
35%
+2.5
76%
12%
+3.5
35%
0%
+4.5
18%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
0%
53%
-1.5
12%
65%
-2.5
24%
88%
-3.5
65%
100%
-4.5
82%
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfB Stuttgart — scored (home)1.76
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (home)0.94
Bayern München — scored (away)3.18
Bayern München — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.2
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (home)41%
Bayern München — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against4.0
Bayern München (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against3.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfB Stuttgart
14
16
9
13
12
Bayern München
14
8
18
9
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
VfB Stuttgart (home)
For1.9
Bayern München (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (home)16.7
Bayern München — total shots (away)16.8
Shots on Target
VfB Stuttgart — on target (home)6.2
Bayern München — on target (away)8.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10
Outside the box5.24
Bayern München
Inside the box12.97
Outside the box6.21
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. El Khannouss
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Bayern München
H. Kane
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Olise
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target47%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
N. Jackson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Gnabry
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart xG (home)1.77
Bayern München xG (away)2.96
Average Possession
57.68%
Possession
67.44%
Team Comparison VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München
83.71%
Pass accuracy
89.88%
517.09
Passes per match
700.91
0.29
Goals prevented
-0.3
9.62
Fouls committed
8.79
3.21
Goalkeeper saves
2.03
2.16
Offsides
2.44
14.24
Tackles per match
12.79
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München prediction analysis
Review VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights