Prediction Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel
VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2024-10-26
13:30
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
83%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
18%
2
26%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS Yes
78%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
VfB Stuttgart (Home)
Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%
Holstein Kiel (Away)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.29
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate88%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart
WWWLD
Holstein Kiel
LLWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
94%
59%
+1.5
41%
35%
+2.5
12%
18%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
88%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 83%. Model confidence is High.
VfB Stuttgart averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Holstein Kiel averages 1.47 goals scored away.
Model Strength
83%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
18%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
83%
BTTS Yes
78%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
VfB Stuttgart(A)
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel
Home
Mar 2025
VfB Stuttgart(A)
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel
Draw
Oct 2024
VfB Stuttgart
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Home
May 2020
VfB Stuttgart(A)
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel
Away
Oct 2019
VfB Stuttgart
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel
Away
In the last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
VfB Stuttgart — unbeaten run (home)1
VfB Stuttgart — scoring streak (home)1
Holstein Kiel — winless run (away)1
Holstein Kiel — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfB Stuttgart Win (1)56%
Draw (X)18%
Holstein Kiel Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
94%
59%
+1.5
41%
35%
+2.5
12%
18%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
6%
41%
-1.5
59%
65%
-2.5
88%
82%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfB Stuttgart — scored (home)2.06
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (home)1.59
Holstein Kiel — scored (away)1.47
Holstein Kiel — conceded (away)2.29
Model expected combined goals4.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes78%
No22%
Rate per Team
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (home)71%
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)79.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against3.7
Holstein Kiel (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against7.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfB Stuttgart
8
11
8
13
13
Holstein Kiel
16
15
12
7
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
VfB Stuttgart (home)
For2.4
Holstein Kiel (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (home)16.4
Holstein Kiel — total shots (away)10.7
Shots on Target
VfB Stuttgart — on target (home)6.2
Holstein Kiel — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box3.71
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.76
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
N. Woltemade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target26%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
A. Kelati
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Machino
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Remberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart xG (home)1.88
Holstein Kiel xG (away)1.18
Average Possession
57.5%
Possession
43.65%
Team Comparison VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel
84.82%
Pass accuracy
76.41%
538.38
Passes per match
370.29
0.04
Goals prevented
-0.15
10.53
Fouls committed
11.97
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.59
1.88
Offsides
1.38
13.97
Tackles per match
15.97
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel prediction analysis
Review VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights