Prediction Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain
VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
VfB Stuttgart (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%
Paris Saint Germain (Away)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match0.88
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate25%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart
LWWLL
Paris Saint Germain
WWWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
75%
25%
+1.5
50%
25%
+2.5
38%
25%
+3.5
13%
25%
+4.5
0%
75%
BTTS
25%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
VfB Stuttgart averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Paris Saint Germain averages 1.75 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jan 2025
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 4
Paris Saint Germain
Away
In the last 1 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
VfB Stuttgart — unbeaten run (home)0
VfB Stuttgart — scoring streak (home)2
Paris Saint Germain — winless run (away)0
Paris Saint Germain — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfB Stuttgart Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
Paris Saint Germain Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
75%
25%
+1.5
50%
25%
+2.5
38%
25%
+3.5
13%
25%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
25%
75%
-1.5
50%
75%
-2.5
62%
75%
-3.5
87%
75%
-4.5
100%
VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfB Stuttgart — scored (home)1.75
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (home)2
Paris Saint Germain — scored (away)1.75
Paris Saint Germain — conceded (away)0.88
Model expected combined goals2.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (home)75%
Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.57%
Under 10.593%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against2.8
Paris Saint Germain (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfB Stuttgart
7
8
5
23
10
Paris Saint Germain
10
10
4
8
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
VfB Stuttgart (home)
For1.5
Paris Saint Germain (away)
For1.4
Shots per Game
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (home)16.5
Paris Saint Germain — total shots (away)13.9
Shots on Target
VfB Stuttgart — on target (home)4.8
Paris Saint Germain — on target (away)5.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box11.13
Outside the box6.25
Paris Saint Germain
Inside the box12.71
Outside the box6.18
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
J. Leweling
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target60%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Stiller
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target53%
D. Doué
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target31%
Gonçalo Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Kvaratskhelia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Hakimi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart xG (home)1.78
Paris Saint Germain xG (away)2.13
Average Possession
59.13%
Possession
61.65%
Team Comparison VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain
85.13%
Pass accuracy
88.18%
549.63
Passes per match
625.88
-0.54
Goals prevented
0.19
11.38
Fouls committed
9.12
1.88
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
2.13
Offsides
1.59
18
Tackles per match
19.65
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain prediction analysis
Review VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint Germain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights