Prediction Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-04-13
13:30
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Werder Bremen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
21%
2
34%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
VfB Stuttgart (Home)
Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%
Werder Bremen (Away)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart
WWWLD
Werder Bremen
WDDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
71%
35%
+2.5
24%
18%
+3.5
18%
6%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.
VfB Stuttgart averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
21%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
Draw
Dec 2025
VfB Stuttgart(A)
4 - 0
Werder Bremen
Home
Apr 2025
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
Away
Nov 2024
VfB Stuttgart(A)
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Draw
Apr 2024
VfB Stuttgart(A)
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
Away
In the last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
VfB Stuttgart — unbeaten run (home)1
VfB Stuttgart — scoring streak (home)1
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)0
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfB Stuttgart Win (1)45%
Draw (X)21%
Werder Bremen Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
71%
35%
+2.5
24%
18%
+3.5
18%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
18%
41%
-1.5
29%
65%
-2.5
76%
82%
-3.5
82%
94%
-4.5
100%
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfB Stuttgart — scored (home)2.06
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (home)1.59
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.94
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.79
Both Teams To Score
Yes72%
No28%
Rate per Team
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (home)71%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)65%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfB Stuttgart (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against3.7
Werder Bremen (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfB Stuttgart
8
11
8
13
13
Werder Bremen
9
4
10
15
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
VfB Stuttgart (home)
For2.4
Werder Bremen (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (home)16.4
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
VfB Stuttgart — on target (home)6.2
Werder Bremen — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box3.71
Werder Bremen
Inside the box9.47
Outside the box3.15
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
N. Woltemade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target26%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Werder Bremen
K. Topp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart xG (home)1.88
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.51
Average Possession
57.5%
Possession
49.94%
Team Comparison VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
84.82%
Pass accuracy
80.94%
538.38
Passes per match
469.15
0.04
Goals prevented
-0
10.53
Fouls committed
9.85
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.06
1.88
Offsides
2.18
13.97
Tackles per match
16.03
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis
Review VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights