Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg

VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-02 12:30
VfL Bochum
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
1. FC Magdeburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
27%
2
24%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

VfL Bochum (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

1. FC Magdeburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

VfL Bochum
WDDWL
1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 65%
59% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 41%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

VfL Bochum averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
27%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 VfL Bochum(A) 1 - 4 1. FC Magdeburg Away
Nov 2025 VfL Bochum 2 - 0 1. FC Magdeburg Home

In the last 2 meetings, VfL Bochum won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

VfL Bochum — unbeaten run (home)3
VfL Bochum — scoring streak (home)6
1. FC Magdeburg — winless run (away)0
1. FC Magdeburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

VfL Bochum Win (1)49%
Draw (X)27%
1. FC Magdeburg Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 65%
59% +1.5 53%
24% +2.5 41%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 35%
41% -1.5 47%
76% -2.5 59%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VfL Bochum — scored (home)1.76
VfL Bochum — conceded (home)1.24
1. FC Magdeburg — scored (away)1.71
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (home)65%
1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

VfL Bochum (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.6

1. FC Magdeburg (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VfL Bochum
9 10 10 8 13
1. FC Magdeburg
13 8 8 16 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

VfL Bochum (home)

For3.3

1. FC Magdeburg (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

VfL Bochum — total shots (home)16.1
1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (away)15.3

Shots on Target

VfL Bochum — on target (home)5.5
1. FC Magdeburg — on target (away)5.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VfL Bochum

Inside the box10.59
Outside the box3.29

1. FC Magdeburg

Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74

Player Shots VfL Bochum

K. Miyoshi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Holtmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Wätjen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg

M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Bochum xG (home)1.65
1. FC Magdeburg xG (away)1.78

Average Possession

45.76% Possession 54.15%

Team Comparison VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg

77.15% Pass accuracy 82.41%
375.24 Passes per match 447.91
0.06 Goals prevented -0.08
13.38 Fouls committed 11.44
3.26 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.61 Offsides 1.88
16.03 Tackles per match 14.7

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction analysis

Review VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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