Prediction Analysis: VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden
VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-11-21
17:30
VfL Bochum
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfL Bochum (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%
Dynamo Dresden (Away)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfL Bochum
WDDWL
Dynamo Dresden
WLWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfL Bochum averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Dynamo Dresden averages 1.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 4
Apr 2026
VfL Bochum(A)
0 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Nov 2025
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Feb 2020
VfL Bochum(A)
2 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
Home
Sep 2019
VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, VfL Bochum won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
VfL Bochum — unbeaten run (home)3
VfL Bochum — scoring streak (home)6
Dynamo Dresden — winless run (away)2
Dynamo Dresden — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfL Bochum Win (1)52%
Draw (X)23%
Dynamo Dresden Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
18%
41%
-1.5
47%
76%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfL Bochum — scored (home)1.76
VfL Bochum — conceded (home)1.24
Dynamo Dresden — scored (away)1.41
Dynamo Dresden — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.97
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (home)65%
Dynamo Dresden — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)70.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfL Bochum (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.6
Dynamo Dresden (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against6.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfL Bochum
9
10
10
8
13
Dynamo Dresden
9
9
11
14
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
VfL Bochum (home)
For3.3
Dynamo Dresden (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
VfL Bochum — total shots (home)16.1
Dynamo Dresden — total shots (away)13.3
Shots on Target
VfL Bochum — on target (home)5.5
Dynamo Dresden — on target (away)4.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfL Bochum
Inside the box10.59
Outside the box3.29
Dynamo Dresden
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.56
Player Shots VfL Bochum
K. Miyoshi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Holtmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Wätjen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Dynamo Dresden
R. Wagner
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Lemmer
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Sterner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Hauptmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Vermeij
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Bochum xG (home)1.65
Dynamo Dresden xG (away)1.48
Average Possession
45.76%
Possession
50.15%
Team Comparison VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden
77.15%
Pass accuracy
79.79%
375.24
Passes per match
429.06
0.06
Goals prevented
-0.26
13.38
Fouls committed
10.76
3.26
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
1.61
Offsides
2
16.03
Tackles per match
16.12
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden prediction analysis
Review VfL Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights