Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli

VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-01-15 17:30
VfL Bochum
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC St. Pauli
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
25%
2
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

VfL Bochum (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

FC St. Pauli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

VfL Bochum
WLDDL
FC St. Pauli
LDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while FC St. Pauli averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
51%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
25%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 VfL Bochum(A) 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli Home
Jan 2025 VfL Bochum 1 - 0 FC St. Pauli Home
Jan 2021 VfL Bochum(A) 3 - 2 FC St. Pauli Home
Sep 2020 VfL Bochum 2 - 2 FC St. Pauli Draw
Jun 2020 VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli Home

In the last 5 meetings, VfL Bochum won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

VfL Bochum — unbeaten run (home)0
VfL Bochum — scoring streak (home)3
FC St. Pauli — winless run (away)2
FC St. Pauli — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

VfL Bochum Win (1)26%
Draw (X)25%
FC St. Pauli Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%
76% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VfL Bochum — scored (home)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (home)1.94
FC St. Pauli — scored (away)1.06
FC St. Pauli — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (home)47%
FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

VfL Bochum (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.0

FC St. Pauli (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VfL Bochum
9 14 10 12 11
FC St. Pauli
8 4 8 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

VfL Bochum (home)

For1.9

FC St. Pauli (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

VfL Bochum — total shots (home)14.5
FC St. Pauli — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

VfL Bochum — on target (home)4.4
FC St. Pauli — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VfL Bochum

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79

FC St. Pauli

Inside the box7.06
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots VfL Bochum

G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots FC St. Pauli

J. Eggestein
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target19%
C. Metcalfe
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
E. Saad
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Boukhalfa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Irvine
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Bochum xG (home)1.24
FC St. Pauli xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 43.97%

Team Comparison VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli

74.18% Pass accuracy 78.09%
372.79 Passes per match 406.94
0.31 Goals prevented 0.21
13.71 Fouls committed 10.38
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.97
1.97 Offsides 1.97
17.65 Tackles per match 15.91

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli prediction analysis

Review VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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