Prediction Analysis: VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2026-08-07
18:30
VfL Bochum
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hertha BSC
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
23%
2
36%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfL Bochum (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%
Hertha BSC (Away)
Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfL Bochum
WDDWL
Hertha BSC
LWLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
88%
59%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
29%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
65%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfL Bochum averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Hertha BSC averages 1.82 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
23%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
VfL Bochum(A)
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
Draw
Oct 2025
VfL Bochum
3 - 2
Hertha BSC
Home
May 2023
VfL Bochum(A)
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
Draw
Jan 2023
VfL Bochum
3 - 1
Hertha BSC
Home
Feb 2022
VfL Bochum(A)
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, VfL Bochum won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
VfL Bochum — unbeaten run (home)3
VfL Bochum — scoring streak (home)6
Hertha BSC — winless run (away)3
Hertha BSC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfL Bochum Win (1)41%
Draw (X)23%
Hertha BSC Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
88%
59%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
29%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
12%
41%
-1.5
47%
76%
-2.5
71%
94%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
94%
VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfL Bochum — scored (home)1.76
VfL Bochum — conceded (home)1.24
Hertha BSC — scored (away)1.82
Hertha BSC — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.18
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (home)65%
Hertha BSC — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfL Bochum (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.6
Hertha BSC (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfL Bochum
9
10
10
8
13
Hertha BSC
10
8
8
20
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3
Yellow Cards per Team
VfL Bochum (home)
For3.3
Hertha BSC (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.68
VfL Bochum
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots14.89
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.07
Hertha BSC
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.79
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.04
Shots per Game
VfL Bochum — total shots (home)16.1
Hertha BSC — total shots (away)11.6
Shots on Target
VfL Bochum — on target (home)5.5
Hertha BSC — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfL Bochum
Inside the box10.59
Outside the box3.29
Hertha BSC
Inside the box8.59
Outside the box3.88
Player Shots VfL Bochum
K. Miyoshi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Holtmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Wätjen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Hertha BSC
F. Reese
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Grønning
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Klemens
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Winkler
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Cuisance
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Bochum xG (home)1.65
Hertha BSC xG (away)1.44
Average Possession
45.76%
Possession
48.74%
Team Comparison VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC
77.15%
Pass accuracy
80.09%
375.24
Passes per match
400.53
0.06
Goals prevented
0.06
13.38
Fouls committed
12.38
3.26
Goalkeeper saves
2.94
1.61
Offsides
2
16.03
Tackles per match
13.85
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC prediction analysis
Review VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights