Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin

VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-04-27 13:30
VfL Bochum
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union Berlin
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
39%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

VfL Bochum (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Union Berlin (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

VfL Bochum
WLDDL
Union Berlin
WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Union Berlin averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 VfL Bochum 1 - 1 Union Berlin Draw
Dec 2024 VfL Bochum(A) 1 - 1 Union Berlin Draw
May 2024 VfL Bochum(A) 4 - 3 Union Berlin Home
Dec 2023 VfL Bochum 3 - 0 Union Berlin Home
Apr 2023 VfL Bochum(A) 1 - 1 Union Berlin Draw

In the last 5 meetings, VfL Bochum won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

VfL Bochum — unbeaten run (home)0
VfL Bochum — scoring streak (home)3
Union Berlin — winless run (away)0
Union Berlin — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

VfL Bochum Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Union Berlin Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 47%
76% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VfL Bochum — scored (home)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (home)1.94
Union Berlin — scored (away)1
Union Berlin — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (home)47%
Union Berlin — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

VfL Bochum (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.0

Union Berlin (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VfL Bochum
9 14 10 12 11
Union Berlin
8 14 10 3 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

VfL Bochum (home)

For1.9

Union Berlin (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

VfL Bochum — total shots (home)14.5
Union Berlin — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

VfL Bochum — on target (home)4.4
Union Berlin — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VfL Bochum

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79

Union Berlin

Inside the box8.26
Outside the box4

Player Shots VfL Bochum

G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Union Berlin

L. Tousart
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
Y. Vertessen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Ilić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Hollerbach
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target15%
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Bochum xG (home)1.24
Union Berlin xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 40.41%

Team Comparison VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin

74.18% Pass accuracy 73.65%
372.79 Passes per match 359.03
0.31 Goals prevented 0.06
13.71 Fouls committed 12.32
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.97 Offsides 2.03
17.65 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin prediction analysis

Review VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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