Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-10-01 17:00
VfL Osnabrück
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
28%
2
10%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

VfL Osnabrück (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate32%

SSV Jahn Regensburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

VfL Osnabrück
WDWWW
SSV Jahn Regensburg
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 42%
21% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
32% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

VfL Osnabrück averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while SSV Jahn Regensburg averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
28%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
23%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 VfL Osnabrück(A) 2 - 0 SSV Jahn Regensburg Home
Oct 2025 VfL Osnabrück 2 - 0 SSV Jahn Regensburg Home
Apr 2021 VfL Osnabrück 0 - 1 SSV Jahn Regensburg Away
Nov 2020 VfL Osnabrück(A) 4 - 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg Home
May 2020 VfL Osnabrück 2 - 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg Draw

In the last 5 meetings, VfL Osnabrück won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

VfL Osnabrück — unbeaten run (home)9
VfL Osnabrück — scoring streak (home)10
SSV Jahn Regensburg — winless run (away)1
SSV Jahn Regensburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

VfL Osnabrück Win (1)62%
Draw (X)28%
SSV Jahn Regensburg Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
47% +1.5 42%
21% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
53% -1.5 58%
79% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VfL Osnabrück — scored (home)1.53
VfL Osnabrück — conceded (home)0.63
SSV Jahn Regensburg — scored (away)1.32
SSV Jahn Regensburg — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals1.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes23%
No77%

Rate per Team

VfL Osnabrück — BTTS matches (home)32%
SSV Jahn Regensburg — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

VfL Osnabrück (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.6

SSV Jahn Regensburg (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VfL Osnabrück
14 10 11 0 0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
11 12 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

VfL Osnabrück (home)

For2.1

SSV Jahn Regensburg (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

VfL Osnabrück — total shots (home)12.6
SSV Jahn Regensburg — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

VfL Osnabrück — on target (home)4.9
SSV Jahn Regensburg — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VfL Osnabrück

Inside the box7.89
Outside the box4.75

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Inside the box9.04
Outside the box3.72

Player Shots VfL Osnabrück

R. Meißner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target46%
D. Kopacz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Kehl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Badjie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%
B. Riesselmann
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots SSV Jahn Regensburg

N. Eichinger
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
C. Kühlwetter
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Hottmann
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Posselt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Hermes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Osnabrück xG (home)1.59
SSV Jahn Regensburg xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

45.54% Possession 46.16%

Team Comparison VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

77.61% Pass accuracy 76.12%
380.14 Passes per match 363.52
0 Goals prevented 0
12.61 Fouls committed 13.44
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
2.21 Offsides 2.08
3.73 Tackles per match 3.48

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction analysis

Review VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Jahn Regensburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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