Prediction Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-09-27
13:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
RB Leipzig
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
24%
2
44%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfL Wolfsburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%
RB Leipzig (Away)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfL Wolfsburg
LDWLD
RB Leipzig
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
82%
33%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
67%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while RB Leipzig averages 1.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
24%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
2 - 2
RB Leipzig
Draw
Sep 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig
Away
Apr 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
2 - 3
RB Leipzig
Away
Feb 2025
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
0 - 1
RB Leipzig
Away
Nov 2024
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
5 - 1
RB Leipzig
Home
In the last 5 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
VfL Wolfsburg — unbeaten run (home)1
VfL Wolfsburg — scoring streak (home)0
RB Leipzig — winless run (away)2
RB Leipzig — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfL Wolfsburg Win (1)32%
Draw (X)24%
RB Leipzig Win (2)44%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
82%
33%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
18%
67%
-1.5
65%
83%
-2.5
82%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
94%
VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfL Wolfsburg — scored (home)1.17
VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (home)1.78
RB Leipzig — scored (away)1.53
RB Leipzig — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.03
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (home)67%
RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)63%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfL Wolfsburg (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against5.8
RB Leipzig (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfL Wolfsburg
8
9
17
5
21
RB Leipzig
10
14
10
8
3
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
VfL Wolfsburg (home)
For1.9
RB Leipzig (away)
For1.7
Shots per Game
VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (home)13.8
RB Leipzig — total shots (away)14.3
Shots on Target
VfL Wolfsburg — on target (home)4.8
RB Leipzig — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfL Wolfsburg
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
RB Leipzig
Inside the box11.29
Outside the box4.5
Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg
D. Pejčinović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
K. Shiogai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Amoura
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Wind
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Eriksen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots RB Leipzig
C. Baumgartner
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rômulo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Diomande
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
B. Gruda
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Ouédraogo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target26%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Wolfsburg xG (home)1.41
RB Leipzig xG (away)1.98
Average Possession
45.44%
Possession
53.88%
Team Comparison VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig
78%
Pass accuracy
84.15%
407.64
Passes per match
503
0.07
Goals prevented
0.05
11.47
Fouls committed
9.26
3.61
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
1.26
Offsides
1.5
16.19
Tackles per match
15.12
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig prediction analysis
Review VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights