Prediction Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-12-20
14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SC Freiburg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
23%
2
35%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
VfL Wolfsburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%
SC Freiburg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
VfL Wolfsburg
LDWLD
SC Freiburg
WLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
53%
33%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
67%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.
VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while SC Freiburg averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
23%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
1 - 1
SC Freiburg
Draw
Dec 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
3 - 4
SC Freiburg
Away
Apr 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
0 - 1
SC Freiburg
Away
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
2 - 3
SC Freiburg
Away
Apr 2024
VfL Wolfsburg(A)
2 - 1
SC Freiburg
Home
In the last 5 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
VfL Wolfsburg — unbeaten run (home)1
VfL Wolfsburg — scoring streak (home)0
SC Freiburg — winless run (away)2
SC Freiburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
VfL Wolfsburg Win (1)42%
Draw (X)23%
SC Freiburg Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
53%
33%
+1.5
35%
17%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
47%
67%
-1.5
65%
83%
-2.5
88%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
VfL Wolfsburg — scored (home)1.17
VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (home)1.78
SC Freiburg — scored (away)1.06
SC Freiburg — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.29
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (home)67%
SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)54%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
VfL Wolfsburg (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against5.8
SC Freiburg (away)
Corners for3.7
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
VfL Wolfsburg
8
9
17
5
21
SC Freiburg
9
5
8
6
3
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
VfL Wolfsburg (home)
For1.9
SC Freiburg (away)
For1.5
Shots per Game
VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (home)13.8
SC Freiburg — total shots (away)10.2
Shots on Target
VfL Wolfsburg — on target (home)4.8
SC Freiburg — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
VfL Wolfsburg
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
SC Freiburg
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.85
Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg
D. Pejčinović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
K. Shiogai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Amoura
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Wind
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Eriksen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots SC Freiburg
I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Suzuki
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Beste
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Manzambi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Höler
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Wolfsburg xG (home)1.41
SC Freiburg xG (away)1.43
Average Possession
45.44%
Possession
48%
Team Comparison VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg
78%
Pass accuracy
80.06%
407.64
Passes per match
406.47
0.07
Goals prevented
-0.1
11.47
Fouls committed
9.35
3.61
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.26
Offsides
2.06
16.19
Tackles per match
14.35
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction analysis
Review VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights