Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-02-22 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
VfL Bochum
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
20%
2
23%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

VfL Wolfsburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

VfL Bochum (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg
WDLLD
VfL Bochum
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
20%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 VfL Bochum Draw
Oct 2024 VfL Wolfsburg(A) 3 - 1 VfL Bochum Home
Apr 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 0 VfL Bochum Home
Dec 2023 VfL Wolfsburg(A) 1 - 3 VfL Bochum Away
Apr 2023 VfL Wolfsburg(A) 5 - 1 VfL Bochum Home

In the last 5 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

VfL Wolfsburg — unbeaten run (home)1
VfL Wolfsburg — scoring streak (home)1
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

VfL Wolfsburg Win (1)57%
Draw (X)20%
VfL Bochum Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 59%
47% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 41%
53% -1.5 71%
88% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VfL Wolfsburg — scored (home)1.59
VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (home)1.76
VfL Bochum — scored (away)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (home)76%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)64.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

VfL Wolfsburg (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.8

VfL Bochum (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VfL Wolfsburg
12 5 7 11 17
VfL Bochum
9 14 10 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

VfL Wolfsburg (home)

For1.9

VfL Bochum (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (home)13.5
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

VfL Wolfsburg — on target (home)4.5
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VfL Wolfsburg

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.56

VfL Bochum

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg

L. Majer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Nmecha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Baku
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Wind
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Amoura
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots VfL Bochum

G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Wolfsburg xG (home)1.43
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

46.09% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum

77.56% Pass accuracy 74.18%
402.35 Passes per match 372.79
0.1 Goals prevented 0.31
10.29 Fouls committed 13.71
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.48 Offsides 1.97
14.5 Tackles per match 17.65

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis

Review VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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