Prediction Analysis: Viborg vs Aarhus
Viborg vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Superliga
2026-08-14
17:00
Viborg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Aarhus
Away
Prediction Summary
1
31%
X
24%
2
45%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Viborg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%
Aarhus (Away)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate88%
Team Form last 5 matches
Viborg
WLLDW
Aarhus
DWWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
100%
41%
+1.5
63%
18%
+2.5
19%
6%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
6%
65%
BTTS
88%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Viborg averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
31%
Draw
24%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2026
Viborg(A)
1 - 1
Aarhus
Draw
May 2026
Viborg(A)
2 - 6
Aarhus
Away
Apr 2026
Viborg
1 - 2
Aarhus
Away
Feb 2026
Viborg(A)
2 - 5
Aarhus
Away
Sep 2025
Viborg
1 - 2
Aarhus
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Viborg won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Viborg — unbeaten run (home)1
Viborg — scoring streak (home)1
Aarhus — winless run (away)0
Aarhus — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Viborg Win (1)31%
Draw (X)24%
Aarhus Win (2)45%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
100%
41%
+1.5
63%
18%
+2.5
19%
6%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
0%
59%
-1.5
37%
82%
-2.5
81%
94%
-3.5
94%
94%
-4.5
94%
Viborg vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Viborg — scored (home)1.59
Viborg — conceded (home)1.41
Aarhus — scored (away)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.03
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Viborg — BTTS matches (home)65%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)76.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Viborg (home)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.0
Aarhus (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Viborg
7
11
8
8
4
Aarhus
9
14
9
4
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Viborg (home)
For1.5
Aarhus (away)
For1.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.23
Viborg
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.47
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.97
Aarhus
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.75
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.60
Shots per Game
Viborg — total shots (home)12.5
Aarhus — total shots (away)12.9
Shots on Target
Viborg — on target (home)4.6
Aarhus — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Viborg
Inside the box8.91
Outside the box4.56
Aarhus
Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Viborg
A. Ementa
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Nouck
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Jørgensen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Jalal
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Søndergaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Aarhus
T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Viborg xG (home)1.56
Aarhus xG (away)1.97
Average Possession
47.63%
Possession
53.56%
Team Comparison Viborg vs Aarhus
81.44%
Pass accuracy
83.03%
432
Passes per match
478.44
-0.25
Goals prevented
-0.18
11.44
Fouls committed
10.97
3.03
Goalkeeper saves
3.13
1.32
Offsides
1.72
17.66
Tackles per match
16.09
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Viborg vs Aarhus prediction analysis
Review Viborg vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights