What markets are included in the Villarreal vs Athletic Club prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Villarreal vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Athletic Club

Villarreal vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-09-27 19:00

Villarreal

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Athletic Club

Away

Prediction Summary

76%

15%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.53

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate37%

BTTS rate63%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.95

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal

WLLDW

Athletic Club

LDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 42%

37% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is High.

Villarreal averages 2.53 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

76%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Villarreal(A) 2 - 1 Athletic Club Home

Sep 2025 Villarreal 1 - 0 Athletic Club Home

Apr 2025 Villarreal 0 - 0 Athletic Club Draw

Dec 2024 Villarreal(A) 0 - 2 Athletic Club Away

Apr 2024 Villarreal(A) 1 - 1 Athletic Club Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)1

Villarreal — scoring streak (home)8

Athletic Club — winless run (away)2

Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)76%

Draw (X)15%

Athletic Club Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 42%

37% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

16% -1.5 58%

63% -2.5 95%

74% -3.5 95%

84% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.53

Villarreal — conceded (home)1

Athletic Club — scored (away)1.11

Athletic Club — conceded (away)1.95

Model expected combined goals3.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)63%

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.6

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal

10 9 10 10 14

Athletic Club

11 18 17 5 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For1.6

Athletic Club (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)14.5

Athletic Club — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.8

Athletic Club — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box8.45

Outside the box3.53

Athletic Club

Inside the box9.42

Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Villarreal

Etta Eyong

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target28%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

N. Pépé

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Alberto Moleiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target26%

I. Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Álex Berenguer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target6%

Nico Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target12%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.53

Athletic Club xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

44.53% Possession 48.61%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Athletic Club

82.11% Pass accuracy 79.18%

409.03 Passes per match 409.42

-0.29 Goals prevented 0.08

11.95 Fouls committed 13.63

2.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.74

2 Offsides 1.41

17.32 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights