What markets are included in the Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Espanyol

Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-27 14:15

Villarreal

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Espanyol

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

23%

26%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate74%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal

WWWWW

Espanyol

WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

74% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Villarreal averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

23%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Villarreal 4 - 1 Espanyol Home

Nov 2025 Villarreal(A) 2 - 0 Espanyol Home

Apr 2025 Villarreal 1 - 0 Espanyol Home

Sep 2024 Villarreal(A) 2 - 1 Espanyol Home

Apr 2023 Villarreal 4 - 2 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)6

Villarreal — scoring streak (home)5

Espanyol — winless run (away)4

Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)51%

Draw (X)23%

Espanyol Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 37%

42% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 95%

74% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.26

Villarreal — conceded (home)1.42

Espanyol — scored (away)0.89

Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)74%

Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.7

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Espanyol

10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For2.3

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)15.5

Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.5

Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79

Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

Roberto Fernández

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Véliz

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target4%

Edu Expósito

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target5%

L. Cabrera

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.74

Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Espanyol

82.89% Pass accuracy 76.58%

427.08 Passes per match 328.29

-0.22 Goals prevented -0.04

11.63 Fouls committed 13.11

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.82

2.2 Offsides 1.74

17.05 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights