Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Getafe

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-12-06 13:00
Villarreal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Getafe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
20%
2
12%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.53
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate63%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal
WLLDW
Getafe
WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%
84% +1.5 21%
37% +2.5 0%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Villarreal averages 2.53 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
20%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Villarreal(A) 1 - 2 Getafe Away
Dec 2025 Villarreal 2 - 0 Getafe Home
Mar 2025 Villarreal(A) 2 - 1 Getafe Home
Oct 2024 Villarreal 1 - 1 Getafe Draw
Feb 2024 Villarreal 1 - 1 Getafe Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)1
Villarreal — scoring streak (home)8
Getafe — winless run (away)2
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)68%
Draw (X)20%
Getafe Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%
84% +1.5 21%
37% +2.5 0%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%
16% -1.5 79%
63% -2.5 100%
74% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.53
Villarreal — conceded (home)1
Getafe — scored (away)0.74
Getafe — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)63%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal
10 9 10 10 14
Getafe
5 10 6 4 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For1.6

Getafe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)14.5
Getafe — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.8
Getafe — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box8.45
Outside the box3.53

Getafe

Inside the box5.58
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Villarreal

Etta Eyong
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
G. Mikautadze
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
Gerard Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Pépé
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Alberto Moleiro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%
Borja Mayoral
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
Adrian Liso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.53
Getafe xG (away)0.79

Average Possession

44.53% Possession 40.08%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Getafe

82.11% Pass accuracy 68.08%
409.03 Passes per match 286.84
-0.29 Goals prevented 0.08
11.95 Fouls committed 15.21
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
2 Offsides 2.39
17.32 Tackles per match 18.05

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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