What markets are included in the Villarreal vs Leganes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Villarreal vs Leganes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Leganes

Villarreal vs Leganes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-14 17:00

Villarreal

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Leganes

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

23%

25%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate74%

Leganes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal

WWWWW

Leganes

WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

74% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Villarreal averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Leganes averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

23%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2025 Villarreal 3 - 0 Leganes Home

Dec 2024 Villarreal(A) 5 - 2 Leganes Home

Mar 2020 Villarreal 1 - 2 Leganes Away

Sep 2019 Villarreal(A) 3 - 0 Leganes Home

In the last 4 meetings, Villarreal won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)6

Villarreal — scoring streak (home)5

Leganes — winless run (away)0

Leganes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)53%

Draw (X)23%

Leganes Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 37%

42% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 95%

74% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Leganes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.26

Villarreal — conceded (home)1.42

Leganes — scored (away)0.84

Leganes — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)74%

Leganes — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.7

Leganes (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For2.3

Leganes (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)15.5

Leganes — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.5

Leganes — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.74

Leganes xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 42.42%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Leganes

82.89% Pass accuracy 76%

427.08 Passes per match 354.42

-0.22 Goals prevented -0.01

11.63 Fouls committed 13.24

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.32

2.2 Offsides 2.21

17.05 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Leganes prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Leganes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights