What markets are included in the Villarreal vs Osasuna prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Villarreal vs Osasuna prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal vs Osasuna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-03 14:15

Villarreal

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Osasuna

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

24%

23%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate74%

Osasuna (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal

WWWWW

Osasuna

DWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

74% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Villarreal averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Osasuna averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Villarreal(A) 2 - 2 Osasuna Draw

Sep 2025 Villarreal 2 - 1 Osasuna Home

May 2025 Villarreal 4 - 2 Osasuna Home

Nov 2024 Villarreal(A) 2 - 2 Osasuna Draw

May 2024 Villarreal(A) 1 - 1 Osasuna Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)6

Villarreal — scoring streak (home)5

Osasuna — winless run (away)3

Osasuna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)53%

Draw (X)24%

Osasuna Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

58% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

42% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 95%

74% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Osasuna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.26

Villarreal — conceded (home)1.42

Osasuna — scored (away)0.79

Osasuna — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)74%

Osasuna — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.7

Osasuna (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Osasuna

10 13 8 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For2.3

Osasuna (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)15.5

Osasuna — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.5

Osasuna — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92

Outside the box3.08

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Budimir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target26%

Aimar Oroz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Catena

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Raúl García

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.74

Osasuna xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 45.95%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Osasuna

82.89% Pass accuracy 77.71%

427.08 Passes per match 372.89

-0.22 Goals prevented -0.1

11.63 Fouls committed 13.34

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.61

2.2 Offsides 1.76

17.05 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Osasuna prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Osasuna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights