What markets are included in the Villarreal vs Real Sociedad prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Villarreal vs Real Sociedad prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Villarreal vs Real Sociedad

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-20 14:15

Villarreal

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Real Sociedad

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

25%

28%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Villarreal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate74%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Villarreal

WWWWW

Real Sociedad

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 26%

42% +2.5 11%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

74% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Villarreal averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

25%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Villarreal 3 - 1 Real Sociedad Home

Nov 2025 Villarreal(A) 3 - 2 Real Sociedad Home

Apr 2025 Villarreal 2 - 2 Real Sociedad Draw

Jan 2025 Villarreal(A) 0 - 1 Real Sociedad Away

Feb 2024 Villarreal(A) 3 - 1 Real Sociedad Home

In the last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Villarreal — unbeaten run (home)6

Villarreal — scoring streak (home)5

Real Sociedad — winless run (away)4

Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Villarreal Win (1)47%

Draw (X)25%

Real Sociedad Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 26%

42% +2.5 11%

26% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 58%

42% -1.5 74%

58% -2.5 89%

74% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Villarreal — scored (home)2.26

Villarreal — conceded (home)1.42

Real Sociedad — scored (away)0.79

Real Sociedad — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Villarreal — BTTS matches (home)74%

Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)21%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Villarreal (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.7

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Villarreal

10 8 9 14 8

Real Sociedad

10 6 15 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Villarreal (home)

For2.3

Real Sociedad (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Villarreal — total shots (home)15.5

Real Sociedad — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Villarreal — on target (home)5.5

Real Sociedad — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Villarreal

Inside the box10.32

Outside the box3.84

Real Sociedad

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Villarreal

Pau Cabanes

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Danjuma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ayoze Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Barry

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

A. Zakharyan

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

O. Óskarsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target9%

Barrenetxea

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

S. Becker

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal xG (home)1.74

Real Sociedad xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 54.08%

Team Comparison Villarreal vs Real Sociedad

82.89% Pass accuracy 81.21%

427.08 Passes per match 446.97

-0.22 Goals prevented -0.05

11.63 Fouls committed 13.18

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

2.2 Offsides 2.16

17.05 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Villarreal vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights