Prediction Analysis: Virtus Entella vs Cesena
Virtus Entella vs Cesena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-29
13:00
Virtus Entella
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Virtus Entella
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Cesena
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
27%
2
24%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Virtus Entella (Home)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%
Cesena (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Virtus Entella
WLWDD
Cesena
LDDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
58%
32%
+1.5
26%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
68%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Virtus Entella averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Cesena averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
27%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 3
Feb 2026
Virtus Entella
3 - 1
Cesena
Home
Aug 2025
Virtus Entella(A)
1 - 1
Cesena
Draw
Aug 2023
Virtus Entella(A)
2 - 2
Cesena
Draw
In the last 3 meetings, Virtus Entella won 1, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Virtus Entella — unbeaten run (home)4
Virtus Entella — scoring streak (home)11
Cesena — winless run (away)8
Cesena — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Virtus Entella Win (1)49%
Draw (X)27%
Cesena Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
58%
32%
+1.5
26%
16%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
42%
68%
-1.5
74%
84%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Virtus Entella vs Cesena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Virtus Entella — scored (home)1.42
Virtus Entella — conceded (home)0.95
Cesena — scored (away)0.89
Cesena — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.34
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Virtus Entella — BTTS matches (home)68%
Cesena — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Virtus Entella (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.7
Cesena (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Virtus Entella
6
11
8
5
10
Cesena
8
12
9
14
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Virtus Entella (home)
For2.4
Cesena (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.43
Virtus Entella
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.98
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.32
Cesena
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.45
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35
Shots per Game
Virtus Entella — total shots (home)14.5
Cesena — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
Virtus Entella — on target (home)4.8
Cesena — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Virtus Entella
Inside the box8.53
Outside the box4.34
Cesena
Inside the box8.76
Outside the box4.39
Player Shots Virtus Entella
N. Squizzato
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Cuppone
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
Mattia Tirelli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Franzoni
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Debenedetti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Cesena
C. Shpendi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Olivieri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target12%
S. Bastoni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Corazza
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Piacentini
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Virtus Entella xG (home)1.16
Cesena xG (away)1.53
Average Possession
46.32%
Possession
49.97%
Team Comparison Virtus Entella vs Cesena
75.82%
Pass accuracy
81.87%
347.66
Passes per match
447.53
-0.27
Goals prevented
-0.12
15.92
Fouls committed
13.68
2.47
Goalkeeper saves
2.42
2.05
Offsides
2.14
13.13
Tackles per match
13.18
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Virtus Entella vs Cesena prediction analysis
Review Virtus Entella vs Cesena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights