What markets are included in the Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC

Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-04-17 00:30

Vitoria

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

26%

24%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vitoria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vitoria

WLWWD

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vitoria averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

26%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Vitoria(A) 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Apr 2025 Vitoria 2 - 1 Fortaleza EC Home

Dec 2024 Vitoria 2 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

Jul 2024 Vitoria(A) 1 - 3 Fortaleza EC Away

May 2022 Vitoria 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vitoria won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vitoria — unbeaten run (home)4

Vitoria — scoring streak (home)2

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vitoria Win (1)50%

Draw (X)26%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vitoria — scored (home)1.11

Vitoria — conceded (home)0.79

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Vitoria — BTTS matches (home)42%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vitoria (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.8

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vitoria

9 10 12 5 12

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Vitoria (home)

For3.1

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Vitoria — total shots (home)13.7

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Vitoria — on target (home)4.3

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Matheuzinho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Erick

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria xG (home)1.12

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

41.26% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC

78.61% Pass accuracy 79.24%

324.47 Passes per match 354.39

-0.04 Goals prevented 0.01

14.61 Fouls committed 14.18

3.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.83 Offsides 2.06

14.87 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights