Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vitoria vs Internacional

Vitoria vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-05 22:00
Vitoria
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Vitoria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

Internacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vitoria
WLWWD
Internacional
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vitoria averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Vitoria 1 - 0 Internacional Home
Jul 2025 Vitoria(A) 0 - 1 Internacional Away
Sep 2024 Vitoria(A) 1 - 3 Internacional Away
Jun 2024 Vitoria 2 - 1 Internacional Home
Jun 2021 Vitoria(A) 3 - 1 Internacional Home

In the last 5 meetings, Vitoria won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Vitoria — unbeaten run (home)4
Vitoria — scoring streak (home)2
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vitoria Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Internacional Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Vitoria vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vitoria — scored (home)1.11
Vitoria — conceded (home)0.79
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Vitoria — BTTS matches (home)42%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vitoria (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8

Internacional (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vitoria
9 10 12 5 12
Internacional
8 5 7 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Vitoria (home)

For3.1

Internacional (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Vitoria — total shots (home)13.7
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Vitoria — on target (home)4.3
Internacional — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.61

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Matheuzinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
Aitor Cantalapiedra
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Renato Kayzer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Erick
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria xG (home)1.12
Internacional xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

41.26% Possession 51.08%

Team Comparison Vitoria vs Internacional

78.61% Pass accuracy 82.63%
324.47 Passes per match 429.03
-0.04 Goals prevented -0.13
14.61 Fouls committed 14.89
3.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.83 Offsides 1.78
14.87 Tackles per match 18.39

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs Internacional prediction analysis

Review Vitoria vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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