Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vitoria vs RB Bragantino

Vitoria vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-07-20 19:00
Vitoria
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
29%
2
44%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Vitoria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate42%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vitoria
WLWWD
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vitoria averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
29%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Vitoria(A) 0 - 4 RB Bragantino Away
Jul 2025 Vitoria 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Oct 2024 Vitoria 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Jun 2024 Vitoria(A) 1 - 2 RB Bragantino Away
Sep 2019 Vitoria(A) 0 - 2 RB Bragantino Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vitoria won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vitoria — unbeaten run (home)4
Vitoria — scoring streak (home)2
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vitoria Win (1)27%
Draw (X)29%
RB Bragantino Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Vitoria vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vitoria — scored (home)1.11
Vitoria — conceded (home)0.79
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Vitoria — BTTS matches (home)42%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vitoria (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vitoria
9 10 12 5 12
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Vitoria (home)

For3.1

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Vitoria — total shots (home)13.7
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Vitoria — on target (home)4.3
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.61

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Matheuzinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
Aitor Cantalapiedra
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Renato Kayzer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target17%
Erick
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria xG (home)1.12
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

41.26% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Vitoria vs RB Bragantino

78.61% Pass accuracy 81.68%
324.47 Passes per match 390.63
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.01
14.61 Fouls committed 14.11
3.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.83 Offsides 1.46
14.87 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Vitoria vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top