What markets are included in the Vitoria vs Santos prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vitoria vs Santos prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vitoria vs Santos

Vitoria vs Santos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-05-25 21:30

Vitoria

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Santos

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

27%

21%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vitoria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Santos (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vitoria

WLWWD

Santos

WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 37%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vitoria averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Santos averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Vitoria(A) 1 - 0 Santos Home

May 2025 Vitoria 0 - 1 Santos Away

In the last 2 meetings, Vitoria won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Vitoria — unbeaten run (home)4

Vitoria — scoring streak (home)2

Santos — winless run (away)0

Santos — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vitoria Win (1)52%

Draw (X)27%

Santos Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 37%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%

63% -1.5 63%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Vitoria vs Santos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vitoria — scored (home)1.11

Vitoria — conceded (home)0.79

Santos — scored (away)1.11

Santos — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Vitoria — BTTS matches (home)42%

Santos — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vitoria (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.8

Santos (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vitoria

9 10 12 5 12

Santos

12 5 12 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Vitoria (home)

For3.1

Santos (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Vitoria — total shots (home)13.7

Santos — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Vitoria — on target (home)4.3

Santos — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Santos

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Matheuzinho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Erick

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Santos

Neymar

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Guilherme

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target13%

Á. Barreal

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Rollheiser

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target17%

Victor Hugo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria xG (home)1.12

Santos xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

41.26% Possession 49.68%

Team Comparison Vitoria vs Santos

78.61% Pass accuracy 82.87%

324.47 Passes per match 394.58

-0.04 Goals prevented -0.02

14.61 Fouls committed 13.74

3.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.42

1.83 Offsides 1.68

14.87 Tackles per match 17.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs Santos prediction analysis

Review Vitoria vs Santos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights