What markets are included in the Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-10 21:30

Vitoria

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

24%

19%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vitoria (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vitoria

WLWWD

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vitoria averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Oct 2025 Vitoria(A) 3 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Away

May 2025 Vitoria 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home

Sep 2024 Vitoria 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Away

May 2024 Vitoria(A) 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vitoria won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vitoria — unbeaten run (home)4

Vitoria — scoring streak (home)2

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vitoria Win (1)57%

Draw (X)24%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vitoria — scored (home)1.11

Vitoria — conceded (home)0.79

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Vitoria — BTTS matches (home)42%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vitoria (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.8

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vitoria

9 10 12 5 12

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Vitoria (home)

For3.1

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Vitoria — total shots (home)13.7

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Vitoria — on target (home)4.3

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Matheuzinho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Erick

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria xG (home)1.12

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

41.26% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama

78.61% Pass accuracy 86.47%

324.47 Passes per match 481

-0.04 Goals prevented -0.15

14.61 Fouls committed 13.18

3.92 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.83 Offsides 0.81

14.87 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights