Prediction Analysis: Vizela vs União de Leiria
Vizela vs União de Leiria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda Liga
2026-08-09
13:00
Vizela
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
União de Leiria
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
26%
2
36%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Vizela (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%
União de Leiria (Away)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Vizela
LWDWL
União de Leiria
DLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
71%
35%
+1.5
41%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.
Vizela averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while União de Leiria averages 1.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 4
May 2026
Vizela
1 - 0
União de Leiria
Home
Jan 2026
Vizela(A)
2 - 2
União de Leiria
Draw
Jan 2025
Vizela
1 - 0
União de Leiria
Home
Aug 2024
Vizela(A)
2 - 0
União de Leiria
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Vizela won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Vizela — unbeaten run (home)2
Vizela — scoring streak (home)2
União de Leiria — winless run (away)3
União de Leiria — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Vizela Win (1)38%
Draw (X)26%
União de Leiria Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
71%
35%
+1.5
41%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
29%
65%
-1.5
59%
76%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
Vizela vs União de Leiria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Vizela — scored (home)1.47
Vizela — conceded (home)1.18
União de Leiria — scored (away)1.41
União de Leiria — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.65
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Vizela — BTTS matches (home)41%
União de Leiria — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Vizela (home)
Corners for4.4
Corners against3.0
União de Leiria (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against8.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Vizela
0
9
0
0
0
União de Leiria
0
0
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Vizela (home)
For2.7
União de Leiria (away)
For3.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.540%
Under 19.560%
Over 22.530%
Under 22.570%
Over 25.523%
Under 25.577%
Expected total shots18.60
Vizela
Shots Over 9.546%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.02
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.64
União de Leiria
Shots Over 9.537%
Shots Over 11.525%
Shots Over 13.517%
Expected shots8.58
On Target Over 3.535%
On Target Over 4.520%
On Target Over 5.511%
Expected on target2.98
Shots per Game
Vizela — total shots (home)8.8
União de Leiria — total shots (away)12.8
Shots on Target
Vizela — on target (home)3.0
União de Leiria — on target (away)4.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Vizela
Inside the box5.56
Outside the box5.22
União de Leiria
Inside the box8.77
Outside the box4.15
Player Shots Vizela
H. Mörschel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target60%
M. Lacava
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Luís Rocha
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
N. Thio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Fortuné
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots União de Leiria
D. Michel
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
Juan Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
Jair da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
P. Fernandez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Miguel Pires
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Vizela xG (home)0
União de Leiria xG (away)0
Average Possession
53.67%
Possession
51.38%
Team Comparison Vizela vs União de Leiria
82.57%
Pass accuracy
83.25%
395.44
Passes per match
379.15
0
Goals prevented
0
14.78
Fouls committed
16.69
2.33
Goalkeeper saves
3.08
0.78
Offsides
2.64
13.8
Tackles per match
18.25
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Vizela vs União de Leiria prediction and preview
Preview Vizela vs União de Leiria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights