Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: VPS vs Mariehamn

VPS vs Mariehamn prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Veikkausliiga 2026-07-04 15:00
VPS
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
3-0
Mariehamn
Away

Prediction Summary

1
94%
X
5%
2
1%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS No
79%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

VPS (Home)

Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate0%

Mariehamn (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match3.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

VPS
LLWWD
Mariehamn
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 33%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

VPS averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Mariehamn averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
94%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
94%
Draw
5%
Away Win
1%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
21%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 VPS 4 - 0 Mariehamn Home
Sep 2025 VPS(A) 1 - 2 Mariehamn Away
Aug 2025 VPS 1 - 1 Mariehamn Draw
Jun 2025 VPS(A) 5 - 1 Mariehamn Home
Jul 2024 VPS 2 - 1 Mariehamn Home

In the last 5 meetings, VPS won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

VPS — unbeaten run (home)2
VPS — scoring streak (home)2
Mariehamn — winless run (away)3
Mariehamn — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

VPS Win (1)94%
Draw (X)5%
Mariehamn Win (2)1%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 33%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
50% -1.5 67%
50% -2.5 100%
50% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

VPS vs Mariehamn — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

VPS — scored (home)2.5
VPS — conceded (home)0
Mariehamn — scored (away)1
Mariehamn — conceded (away)3.33
Model expected combined goals3.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes21%
No79%

Rate per Team

VPS — BTTS matches (home)0%
Mariehamn — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)33.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

VPS (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Mariehamn (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VPS
5
Mariehamn
16
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

VPS (home)

For—

Mariehamn (away)

For—

Shots per Game

VPS — total shots (home)—
Mariehamn — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

VPS — on target (home)—
Mariehamn — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

VPS

Inside the box8
Outside the box1

Mariehamn

Inside the box14
Outside the box4
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

62% Possession 44%

Team Comparison VPS vs Mariehamn

85.36% Pass accuracy 73.09%
560 Passes per match 353
12 Fouls committed 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
0 Offsides 1
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

VPS vs Mariehamn prediction analysis

Review VPS vs Mariehamn with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Veikkausliiga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Veikkausliiga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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