Prediction Analysis: Waalwijk vs Dordrecht
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eerste Divisie
2026-08-14
18:00
Waalwijk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dordrecht
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Waalwijk (Home)
Goals scored / match1.81
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate76%
Dordrecht (Away)
Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%
Team Form last 5 matches
Waalwijk
DLDDW
Dordrecht
LLWDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
79%
52%
+1.5
37%
14%
+2.5
11%
14%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
76%
BTTS
68%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Waalwijk averages 1.81 goals scored at home, while Dordrecht averages 1.26 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jan 2026
Waalwijk
1 - 1
Dordrecht
Draw
Oct 2025
Waalwijk(A)
2 - 1
Dordrecht
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Waalwijk won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Waalwijk — unbeaten run (home)0
Waalwijk — scoring streak (home)0
Dordrecht — winless run (away)5
Dordrecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Waalwijk Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
Dordrecht Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
79%
52%
+1.5
37%
14%
+2.5
11%
14%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
21%
48%
-1.5
63%
86%
-2.5
89%
86%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Waalwijk — scored (home)1.81
Waalwijk — conceded (home)1.43
Dordrecht — scored (away)1.26
Dordrecht — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals3.07
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
Waalwijk — BTTS matches (home)76%
Dordrecht — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)72%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Waalwijk (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.8
Dordrecht (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Waalwijk
15
1
11
11
9
Dordrecht
12
10
13
8
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Waalwijk (home)
For1.5
Dordrecht (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.59
Waalwijk
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.67
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.26
Dordrecht
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.92
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.45
Shots per Game
Waalwijk — total shots (home)15.1
Dordrecht — total shots (away)13.9
Shots on Target
Waalwijk — on target (home)5.5
Dordrecht — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Waalwijk
Inside the box9.87
Outside the box4.92
Dordrecht
Inside the box9.95
Outside the box4.92
Player Shots Waalwijk
J. Altena
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. van der Leij
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. van der Venne
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Uneken
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Weidmann
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Player Shots Dordrecht
Y. Eduardo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target32%
J. van der Sluijs
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target24%
Yoon Do-Yong
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Venema
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Afaker
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Waalwijk xG (home)1.96
Dordrecht xG (away)1.6
Average Possession
50.5%
Possession
48.21%
Team Comparison Waalwijk vs Dordrecht
82.61%
Pass accuracy
75.85%
426.18
Passes per match
369.55
0
Goals prevented
0
10.79
Fouls committed
13.18
2.63
Goalkeeper saves
3.29
1.67
Offsides
2.45
18.03
Tackles per match
18.08
League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Waalwijk vs Dordrecht prediction analysis
Review Waalwijk vs Dordrecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights