Prediction Analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
3. Liga
2025-12-20
13:00
Waldhof Mannheim
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Ingolstadt 04
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
23%
2
34%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Waldhof Mannheim (Home)
Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Away)
Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%
Team Form last 5 matches
Waldhof Mannheim
LWLDD
FC Ingolstadt 04
WWLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
89%
58%
+1.5
47%
16%
+2.5
26%
5%
+3.5
5%
5%
+4.5
5%
68%
BTTS
68%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
Waldhof Mannheim averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while FC Ingolstadt 04 averages 1.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
23%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
66%
Head-to-Head last 2
May 2026
Waldhof Mannheim(A)
1 - 5
FC Ingolstadt 04
Away
Dec 2025
Waldhof Mannheim
2 - 2
FC Ingolstadt 04
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Waldhof Mannheim won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Waldhof Mannheim — unbeaten run (home)2
Waldhof Mannheim — scoring streak (home)8
FC Ingolstadt 04 — winless run (away)0
FC Ingolstadt 04 — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Waldhof Mannheim Win (1)43%
Draw (X)23%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
89%
58%
+1.5
47%
16%
+2.5
26%
5%
+3.5
5%
5%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
11%
42%
-1.5
53%
84%
-2.5
74%
95%
-3.5
95%
95%
-4.5
95%
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Waldhof Mannheim — scored (home)1.74
Waldhof Mannheim — conceded (home)1.58
FC Ingolstadt 04 — scored (away)1.79
FC Ingolstadt 04 — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.33
Both Teams To Score
Yes66%
No34%
Rate per Team
Waldhof Mannheim — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Ingolstadt 04 — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)68%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Waldhof Mannheim (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against4.8
FC Ingolstadt 04 (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Waldhof Mannheim
0
14
0
0
0
FC Ingolstadt 04
14
16
4
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Waldhof Mannheim (home)
For2.4
FC Ingolstadt 04 (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
Waldhof Mannheim — total shots (home)15.4
FC Ingolstadt 04 — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Waldhof Mannheim — on target (home)5.7
FC Ingolstadt 04 — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Waldhof Mannheim
Inside the box7.96
Outside the box5.25
FC Ingolstadt 04
Inside the box9.04
Outside the box4.11
Player Shots Waldhof Mannheim
K. Okpala
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Lohkemper
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target35%
T. Boyd
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
K. Asallari
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Shipnoski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots FC Ingolstadt 04
M. Costly
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target32%
Yann Sturm
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Kaygin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Carlsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Christensen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Waldhof Mannheim xG (home)1.6
FC Ingolstadt 04 xG (away)1.74
Average Possession
48.38%
Possession
47.78%
Team Comparison Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
79.08%
Pass accuracy
77.52%
387.75
Passes per match
406.19
0
Goals prevented
0
13.17
Fouls committed
11.56
3
Goalkeeper saves
4
1.75
Offsides
2.81
3.5
Tackles per match
3.28
League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction analysis
Review Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights