Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Watford vs Hull City

Watford vs Hull City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-27 14:00
Watford
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hull City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
24%
2
31%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Watford (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

Hull City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.54
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Watford
LLLLL
Hull City
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 88%
43% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Watford averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Hull City averages 1.54 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Watford(A) 0 - 0 Hull City Draw
Sep 2025 Watford 2 - 1 Hull City Home
Apr 2025 Watford 1 - 0 Hull City Home
Dec 2024 Watford(A) 1 - 1 Hull City Draw
Apr 2024 Watford 0 - 0 Hull City Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Watford won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Watford — unbeaten run (home)0
Watford — scoring streak (home)0
Hull City — winless run (away)0
Hull City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Watford Win (1)45%
Draw (X)24%
Hull City Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 88%
43% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 12%
57% -1.5 46%
83% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Watford vs Hull City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Watford — scored (home)1.3
Watford — conceded (home)1.17
Hull City — scored (away)1.54
Hull City — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Watford — BTTS matches (home)52%
Hull City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.558%
Under 10.542%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Watford (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Hull City (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Watford
15 13 7 9 6
Hull City
16 8 5 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Watford (home)

For1.8

Hull City (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Watford — total shots (home)15.7
Hull City — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Watford — on target (home)5.4
Hull City — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Watford

Inside the box8
Outside the box5.87

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Watford

L. Kjerrumgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
O. Maamma
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Vata
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Irankunda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
Vivaldo Semedo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Watford xG (home)1.22
Hull City xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

51.24% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Watford vs Hull City

79.85% Pass accuracy 72.02%
414.59 Passes per match 351.37
-0.06 Goals prevented 0.13
11.07 Fouls committed 11.16
2.72 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.36 Offsides 1.73
15.11 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Watford vs Hull City prediction analysis

Review Watford vs Hull City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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