Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Watford vs Norwich

Watford vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-06 12:30
Watford
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
25%
2
25%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Watford (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Watford
LLLLL
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 87%
43% +1.5 43%
17% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%
52% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Watford averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Watford(A) 1 - 0 Norwich Home
Dec 2025 Watford 3 - 2 Norwich Home
Aug 2025 Watford 1 - 2 Norwich Away
Feb 2025 Watford 0 - 1 Norwich Away
Sep 2024 Watford(A) 1 - 4 Norwich Away

In the last 5 meetings, Watford won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Watford — unbeaten run (home)0
Watford — scoring streak (home)0
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Watford Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
Norwich Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 87%
43% +1.5 43%
17% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 13%
57% -1.5 57%
83% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 96%

Watford vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Watford — scored (home)1.3
Watford — conceded (home)1.17
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Watford — BTTS matches (home)52%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Watford (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Watford
15 13 7 9 6
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Watford (home)

For1.8

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Watford — total shots (home)15.7
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Watford — on target (home)5.4
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Watford

Inside the box8
Outside the box5.87

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Watford

L. Kjerrumgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
O. Maamma
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Vata
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Irankunda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
Vivaldo Semedo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Watford xG (home)1.22
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

51.24% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Watford vs Norwich

79.85% Pass accuracy 79.24%
414.59 Passes per match 435.28
-0.06 Goals prevented 0.13
11.07 Fouls committed 10.2
2.72 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.36 Offsides 1.93
15.11 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Watford vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Watford vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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