Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Watford vs West Brom

Watford vs West Brom prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-22 18:45
Watford
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
West Brom
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
25%
2
30%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Watford (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate52%

West Brom (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Watford
LLLLL
West Brom
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%
43% +1.5 17%
17% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Watford averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while West Brom averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
25%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Watford(A) 0 - 3 West Brom Away
Oct 2025 Watford 2 - 1 West Brom Home
Apr 2025 Watford(A) 1 - 2 West Brom Away
Dec 2024 Watford 2 - 1 West Brom Home
Apr 2024 Watford(A) 2 - 2 West Brom Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Watford won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Watford — unbeaten run (home)0
Watford — scoring streak (home)0
West Brom — winless run (away)1
West Brom — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Watford Win (1)44%
Draw (X)25%
West Brom Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%
43% +1.5 17%
17% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%
57% -1.5 83%
83% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Watford vs West Brom — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Watford — scored (home)1.3
Watford — conceded (home)1.17
West Brom — scored (away)0.87
West Brom — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Watford — BTTS matches (home)52%
West Brom — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Watford (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

West Brom (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Watford
15 13 7 9 6
West Brom
12 14 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Watford (home)

For1.8

West Brom (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Watford — total shots (home)15.7
West Brom — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Watford — on target (home)5.4
West Brom — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Watford

Inside the box8
Outside the box5.87

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Watford

L. Kjerrumgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
O. Maamma
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Vata
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Irankunda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
Vivaldo Semedo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Watford xG (home)1.22
West Brom xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

51.24% Possession 51.65%

Team Comparison Watford vs West Brom

79.85% Pass accuracy 80.35%
414.59 Passes per match 449.07
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.03
11.07 Fouls committed 10.24
2.72 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.36 Offsides 1.79
15.11 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Watford vs West Brom prediction analysis

Review Watford vs West Brom with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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