Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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A-League 2026-10-25 02:00
Wellington Phoenix
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Central Coast Mariners
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
23%
2
36%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Wellington Phoenix (Home)

Goals scored / match1.46
Goals conceded / match1.77
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate69%

Central Coast Mariners (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.92
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate54%

Team Form last 5 matches

Wellington Phoenix
LWLWW
Central Coast Mariners
LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

77% +0.5 77%
62% +1.5 38%
8% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%
69% BTTS 54%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Wellington Phoenix averages 1.46 goals scored at home, while Central Coast Mariners averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
23%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Wellington Phoenix 3 - 1 Central Coast Mariners Home
Nov 2025 Wellington Phoenix(A) 1 - 1 Central Coast Mariners Draw
Jan 2025 Wellington Phoenix 0 - 0 Central Coast Mariners Draw
Nov 2024 Wellington Phoenix(A) 3 - 0 Central Coast Mariners Home
Apr 2024 Wellington Phoenix(A) 1 - 2 Central Coast Mariners Away

In the last 5 meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Wellington Phoenix — unbeaten run (home)2
Wellington Phoenix — scoring streak (home)2
Central Coast Mariners — winless run (away)1
Central Coast Mariners — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Wellington Phoenix Win (1)41%
Draw (X)23%
Central Coast Mariners Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

77% +0.5 77%
62% +1.5 38%
8% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

23% -0.5 23%
38% -1.5 62%
92% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 92%
100% -4.5 100%

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Wellington Phoenix — scored (home)1.46
Wellington Phoenix — conceded (home)1.77
Central Coast Mariners — scored (away)1.38
Central Coast Mariners — conceded (away)1.92
Model expected combined goals3.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Wellington Phoenix — BTTS matches (home)69%
Central Coast Mariners — BTTS matches (away)54%
Combined (simple average)61.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Wellington Phoenix (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Central Coast Mariners (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Wellington Phoenix (home)

For—

Central Coast Mariners (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Wellington Phoenix — total shots (home)—
Central Coast Mariners — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Wellington Phoenix — on target (home)—
Central Coast Mariners — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Wellington Phoenix

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Central Coast Mariners

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction analysis

Review Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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