Prediction Analysis: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
A-League
2026-10-18
02:00
Wellington Phoenix
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Melbourne Victory
Away
Prediction Summary
1
35%
X
24%
2
40%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Wellington Phoenix (Home)
Goals scored / match1.46
Goals conceded / match1.77
Over 2.5 rate8%
BTTS rate69%
Melbourne Victory (Away)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.46
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate46%
Team Form last 5 matches
Wellington Phoenix
LWLWW
Melbourne Victory
LWDDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
77%
+0.5
69%
62%
+1.5
54%
8%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
69%
BTTS
46%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Wellington Phoenix averages 1.46 goals scored at home, while Melbourne Victory averages 1.38 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
35%
Draw
24%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Wellington Phoenix(A)
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
Home
Feb 2026
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Away
Dec 2025
Wellington Phoenix(A)
1 - 5
Melbourne Victory
Away
Apr 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Away
Feb 2025
Wellington Phoenix(A)
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Wellington Phoenix — unbeaten run (home)2
Wellington Phoenix — scoring streak (home)2
Melbourne Victory — winless run (away)0
Melbourne Victory — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Wellington Phoenix Win (1)35%
Draw (X)24%
Melbourne Victory Win (2)40%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
77%
+0.5
69%
62%
+1.5
54%
8%
+2.5
15%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
23%
-0.5
31%
38%
-1.5
46%
92%
-2.5
85%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Wellington Phoenix — scored (home)1.46
Wellington Phoenix — conceded (home)1.77
Melbourne Victory — scored (away)1.38
Melbourne Victory — conceded (away)1.46
Model expected combined goals3.04
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
Wellington Phoenix — BTTS matches (home)69%
Melbourne Victory — BTTS matches (away)46%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Wellington Phoenix (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Melbourne Victory (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Wellington Phoenix (home)
For—
Melbourne Victory (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Wellington Phoenix — total shots (home)—
Melbourne Victory — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Wellington Phoenix — on target (home)—
Melbourne Victory — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Wellington Phoenix
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Melbourne Victory
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction analysis
Review Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from A-League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
A-League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights