Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-09-05 13:30
Werder Bremen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
RB Leipzig
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
24%
2
45%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Werder Bremen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

RB Leipzig (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Werder Bremen
LLLDW
RB Leipzig
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 82%
29% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Werder Bremen averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while RB Leipzig averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
24%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Werder Bremen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig Away
Nov 2025 Werder Bremen(A) 0 - 2 RB Leipzig Away
May 2025 Werder Bremen 0 - 0 RB Leipzig Draw
Jan 2025 Werder Bremen(A) 2 - 4 RB Leipzig Away
May 2024 Werder Bremen(A) 1 - 1 RB Leipzig Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Werder Bremen — unbeaten run (home)0
Werder Bremen — scoring streak (home)0
RB Leipzig — winless run (away)2
RB Leipzig — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Werder Bremen Win (1)31%
Draw (X)24%
RB Leipzig Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 82%
29% +1.5 35%
18% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 18%
71% -1.5 65%
82% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Werder Bremen — scored (home)1.12
Werder Bremen — conceded (home)1.82
RB Leipzig — scored (away)1.53
RB Leipzig — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (home)47%
RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Werder Bremen (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.3

RB Leipzig (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Werder Bremen
10 16 10 11 9
RB Leipzig
10 14 10 8 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Werder Bremen (home)

For2.4

RB Leipzig (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.70

Werder Bremen

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.14
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.56

RB Leipzig

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.56
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.40

Shots per Game

Werder Bremen — total shots (home)15.3
RB Leipzig — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

Werder Bremen — on target (home)4.6
RB Leipzig — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94

RB Leipzig

Inside the box11.29
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots RB Leipzig

C. Baumgartner
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rômulo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Diomande
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
B. Gruda
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Ouédraogo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target26%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Werder Bremen xG (home)1.23
RB Leipzig xG (away)1.98

Average Possession

51.15% Possession 53.88%

Team Comparison Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

81.53% Pass accuracy 84.15%
480.41 Passes per match 503
0.2 Goals prevented 0.05
9.91 Fouls committed 9.26
3.26 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.82 Offsides 1.5
17.12 Tackles per match 15.12

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction analysis

Review Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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