Prediction Analysis: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-05-10
13:30
Werder Bremen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
RB Leipzig
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
25%
2
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Werder Bremen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
RB Leipzig (Away)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%
Team Form last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
WDDDW
RB Leipzig
LDDLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
59%
41%
+1.5
35%
12%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
41%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Werder Bremen averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while RB Leipzig averages 1.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
25%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
Away
Nov 2025
Werder Bremen(A)
0 - 2
RB Leipzig
Away
May 2025
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
Draw
Jan 2025
Werder Bremen(A)
2 - 4
RB Leipzig
Away
May 2024
Werder Bremen(A)
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Werder Bremen — unbeaten run (home)4
Werder Bremen — scoring streak (home)0
RB Leipzig — winless run (away)2
RB Leipzig — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Werder Bremen Win (1)38%
Draw (X)25%
RB Leipzig Win (2)38%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
59%
41%
+1.5
35%
12%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
41%
59%
-1.5
65%
88%
-2.5
76%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Werder Bremen — scored (home)1.24
Werder Bremen — conceded (home)1.53
RB Leipzig — scored (away)1.18
RB Leipzig — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.88
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (home)47%
RB Leipzig — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Werder Bremen (home)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.3
RB Leipzig (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Werder Bremen
9
4
10
15
10
RB Leipzig
16
12
9
15
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Werder Bremen (home)
For2.3
RB Leipzig (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Werder Bremen — total shots (home)13.5
RB Leipzig — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Werder Bremen — on target (home)3.9
RB Leipzig — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Werder Bremen
Inside the box9.47
Outside the box3.15
RB Leipzig
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box4.12
Player Shots Werder Bremen
K. Topp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots RB Leipzig
K. Kampl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Openda
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target30%
B. Šeško
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
X. Simons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target16%
Y. Poulsen
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen xG (home)1.51
RB Leipzig xG (away)1.36
Average Possession
49.94%
Possession
52.32%
Team Comparison Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
80.94%
Pass accuracy
82.32%
469.15
Passes per match
492.91
-0
Goals prevented
0.07
9.85
Fouls committed
11.06
3.06
Goalkeeper saves
3.29
2.18
Offsides
2.44
16.03
Tackles per match
15.82
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction analysis
Review Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights