Prediction Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-10-24
18:30
Werder Bremen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Union Berlin
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
21%
2
33%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Werder Bremen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Union Berlin (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
LLLDW
Union Berlin
WWDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
71%
29%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.
Werder Bremen averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Union Berlin averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
71%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
21%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Werder Bremen(A)
4 - 1
Union Berlin
Home
Oct 2025
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Union Berlin
Home
May 2025
Werder Bremen(A)
2 - 2
Union Berlin
Draw
Dec 2024
Werder Bremen
4 - 1
Union Berlin
Home
Mar 2024
Werder Bremen(A)
1 - 2
Union Berlin
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Werder Bremen — unbeaten run (home)0
Werder Bremen — scoring streak (home)0
Union Berlin — winless run (away)0
Union Berlin — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Werder Bremen Win (1)46%
Draw (X)21%
Union Berlin Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
71%
29%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
12%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
29%
71%
-1.5
82%
82%
-2.5
88%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Werder Bremen — scored (home)1.12
Werder Bremen — conceded (home)1.82
Union Berlin — scored (away)1.06
Union Berlin — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals3.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes70%
No30%
Rate per Team
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (home)47%
Union Berlin — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Werder Bremen (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against3.3
Union Berlin (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Werder Bremen
10
16
10
11
9
Union Berlin
15
14
7
15
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Werder Bremen (home)
For2.4
Union Berlin (away)
For1.8
Shots per Game
Werder Bremen — total shots (home)15.3
Union Berlin — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Werder Bremen — on target (home)4.6
Union Berlin — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Werder Bremen
Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94
Union Berlin
Inside the box9.06
Outside the box3.41
Player Shots Werder Bremen
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Union Berlin
A. Ilić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target14%
Ilyas Ansah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Schäfer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Doekhi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen xG (home)1.23
Union Berlin xG (away)1.35
Average Possession
51.15%
Possession
40.24%
Team Comparison Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin
81.53%
Pass accuracy
71.44%
480.41
Passes per match
334.44
0.2
Goals prevented
-0.02
9.91
Fouls committed
12.26
3.26
Goalkeeper saves
2.71
1.82
Offsides
1.67
17.12
Tackles per match
14.76
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin prediction analysis
Review Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights