Prediction Analysis: Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-04-19
13:30
Werder Bremen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfL Bochum
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
22%
2
29%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Werder Bremen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
VfL Bochum (Away)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Werder Bremen
WDDDW
VfL Bochum
WLDDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
59%
41%
+1.5
29%
12%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
Werder Bremen averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
22%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jul 2026
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
VfL Bochum
Home
Apr 2025
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
Home
Dec 2024
Werder Bremen(A)
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
Home
May 2024
Werder Bremen
4 - 1
VfL Bochum
Home
Jan 2024
Werder Bremen(A)
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Werder Bremen — unbeaten run (home)4
Werder Bremen — scoring streak (home)0
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Werder Bremen Win (1)49%
Draw (X)22%
VfL Bochum Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
59%
41%
+1.5
29%
12%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
41%
59%
-1.5
71%
88%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Werder Bremen — scored (home)1.24
Werder Bremen — conceded (home)1.53
VfL Bochum — scored (away)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.36
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (home)47%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Werder Bremen (home)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.3
VfL Bochum (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Werder Bremen
9
4
10
15
10
VfL Bochum
9
14
10
12
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Werder Bremen (home)
For2.3
VfL Bochum (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Werder Bremen — total shots (home)13.5
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Werder Bremen — on target (home)3.9
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Werder Bremen
Inside the box9.47
Outside the box3.15
VfL Bochum
Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79
Player Shots Werder Bremen
K. Topp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots VfL Bochum
G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Werder Bremen xG (home)1.51
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.24
Average Possession
49.94%
Possession
44.76%
Team Comparison Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum
80.94%
Pass accuracy
74.18%
469.15
Passes per match
372.79
-0
Goals prevented
0.31
9.85
Fouls committed
13.71
3.06
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
2.18
Offsides
1.97
16.03
Tackles per match
17.65
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis
Review Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights