Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-07 19:30
Werder Bremen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
26%
2
40%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Werder Bremen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

VfL Wolfsburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.39
Goals conceded / match2.17
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate78%

Team Form last 5 matches

Werder Bremen
LLLDW
VfL Wolfsburg
LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 83%
29% +1.5 33%
18% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 78%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Werder Bremen averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.39 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
26%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Werder Bremen(A) 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Home
Nov 2025 Werder Bremen 2 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Home
Mar 2025 Werder Bremen 1 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg Away
Oct 2024 Werder Bremen(A) 4 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg Home
Mar 2024 Werder Bremen 0 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg Away

In the last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Werder Bremen — unbeaten run (home)0
Werder Bremen — scoring streak (home)0
VfL Wolfsburg — winless run (away)1
VfL Wolfsburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Werder Bremen Win (1)34%
Draw (X)26%
VfL Wolfsburg Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 83%
29% +1.5 33%
18% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 17%
71% -1.5 67%
82% -2.5 78%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Werder Bremen — scored (home)1.12
Werder Bremen — conceded (home)1.82
VfL Wolfsburg — scored (away)1.39
VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (away)2.17
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (home)47%
VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (away)78%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Werder Bremen (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.3

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against9.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Werder Bremen
10 16 10 11 9
VfL Wolfsburg
8 9 17 5 21

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Werder Bremen (home)

For2.4

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Werder Bremen — total shots (home)15.3
VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Werder Bremen — on target (home)4.6
VfL Wolfsburg — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94

VfL Wolfsburg

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg

D. Pejčinović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
K. Shiogai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Amoura
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Wind
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Eriksen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Werder Bremen xG (home)1.23
VfL Wolfsburg xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

51.15% Possession 45.44%

Team Comparison Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg

81.53% Pass accuracy 78%
480.41 Passes per match 407.64
0.2 Goals prevented 0.07
9.91 Fouls committed 11.47
3.26 Goalkeeper saves 3.61
1.82 Offsides 1.26
17.12 Tackles per match 16.19

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction analysis

Review Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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