Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Brom vs Bristol City

West Brom vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-26 15:00
West Brom
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Bristol City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

West Brom (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.09
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Brom
LDWWD
Bristol City
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Brom averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 West Brom(A) 1 - 0 Bristol City Home
Dec 2025 West Brom 1 - 2 Bristol City Away
Apr 2025 West Brom(A) 1 - 2 Bristol City Away
Dec 2024 West Brom 2 - 0 Bristol City Home
Mar 2024 West Brom 2 - 0 Bristol City Home

In the last 5 meetings, West Brom won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

West Brom — unbeaten run (home)7
West Brom — scoring streak (home)0
Bristol City — winless run (away)3
Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Brom Win (1)41%
Draw (X)29%
Bristol City Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%
61% -1.5 70%
87% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

West Brom vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Brom — scored (home)1.22
West Brom — conceded (home)1.09
Bristol City — scored (away)1.13
Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

West Brom — BTTS matches (home)52%
Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Brom (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against3.2

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Brom
12 14 7 8 7
Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

West Brom (home)

For1.6

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

West Brom — total shots (home)15.1
Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

West Brom — on target (home)4.6
Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Brom xG (home)1.26
Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

51.65% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison West Brom vs Bristol City

80.35% Pass accuracy 77.85%
449.07 Passes per match 424.78
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.04
10.24 Fouls committed 9.54
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.23
1.79 Offsides 2.02
14.2 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Brom vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review West Brom vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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