Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Brom vs Leicester

West Brom vs Leicester prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-26 19:00
West Brom
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Leicester
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
31%
2
35%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

West Brom (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.09
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Leicester (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Brom
LDWWD
Leicester
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 26%
13% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Brom averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Leicester averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
31%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 West Brom(A) 1 - 2 Leicester Away
Sep 2025 West Brom 1 - 1 Leicester Draw
Apr 2024 West Brom(A) 1 - 2 Leicester Away
Dec 2023 West Brom 1 - 2 Leicester Away
Apr 2021 West Brom(A) 0 - 3 Leicester Away

In the last 5 meetings, West Brom won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

West Brom — unbeaten run (home)7
West Brom — scoring streak (home)0
Leicester — winless run (away)0
Leicester — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Brom Win (1)35%
Draw (X)31%
Leicester Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 83%
39% +1.5 26%
13% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 17%
61% -1.5 74%
87% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

West Brom vs Leicester — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Brom — scored (home)1.22
West Brom — conceded (home)1.09
Leicester — scored (away)1.17
Leicester — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

West Brom — BTTS matches (home)52%
Leicester — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Brom (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against3.2

Leicester (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Brom
12 14 7 8 7
Leicester
14 12 17 14 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

West Brom (home)

For1.6

Leicester (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

West Brom — total shots (home)15.1
Leicester — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

West Brom — on target (home)4.6
Leicester — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Brom xG (home)1.26
Leicester xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

51.65% Possession 51.87%

Team Comparison West Brom vs Leicester

80.35% Pass accuracy 80.17%
449.07 Passes per match 427.22
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.08
10.24 Fouls committed 10.76
2 Goalkeeper saves 2.69
1.79 Offsides 1.55
14.2 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Brom vs Leicester prediction analysis

Review West Brom vs Leicester with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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