Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Brom vs Swansea

West Brom vs Swansea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-29 15:00
West Brom
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Swansea
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
32%
2
25%
Under 2.5
73%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

West Brom (Home)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.09
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Swansea (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Brom
LDWWD
Swansea
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

West Brom averages 1.22 goals scored at home, while Swansea averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
32%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 West Brom(A) 1 - 1 Swansea Draw
Jan 2026 West Brom(A) 0 - 1 Swansea Away
Nov 2025 West Brom 3 - 2 Swansea Home
Jan 2025 West Brom(A) 1 - 1 Swansea Draw
Aug 2024 West Brom 1 - 0 Swansea Home

In the last 5 meetings, West Brom won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

West Brom — unbeaten run (home)7
West Brom — scoring streak (home)0
Swansea — winless run (away)1
Swansea — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Brom Win (1)42%
Draw (X)32%
Swansea Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%
39% +1.5 30%
13% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%
61% -1.5 70%
87% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

West Brom vs Swansea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Brom — scored (home)1.22
West Brom — conceded (home)1.09
Swansea — scored (away)1
Swansea — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals1.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

West Brom — BTTS matches (home)52%
Swansea — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Brom (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against3.2

Swansea (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Brom
12 14 7 8 7
Swansea
14 16 9 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

West Brom (home)

For1.6

Swansea (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

West Brom — total shots (home)15.1
Swansea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

West Brom — on target (home)4.6
Swansea — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Brom xG (home)1.26
Swansea xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

51.65% Possession 54.57%

Team Comparison West Brom vs Swansea

80.35% Pass accuracy 79.43%
449.07 Passes per match 461.63
-0.03 Goals prevented -0.11
10.24 Fouls committed 9.7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.79 Offsides 2.11
14.2 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Brom vs Swansea prediction analysis

Review West Brom vs Swansea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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