What markets are included in the West Ham vs Brighton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the West Ham vs Brighton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: West Ham vs Brighton

West Ham vs Brighton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-30 19:30

West Ham

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Brighton

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

24%

47%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

West Ham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Brighton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Ham

WLLLW

Brighton

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 37%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Ham averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Brighton averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

24%

Away Win

47%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 West Ham 2 - 2 Brighton Draw

Dec 2025 West Ham(A) 1 - 1 Brighton Draw

Apr 2025 West Ham(A) 2 - 3 Brighton Away

Dec 2024 West Ham 1 - 1 Brighton Draw

Jan 2024 West Ham 0 - 0 Brighton Draw

In the last 5 meetings, West Ham won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

West Ham — unbeaten run (home)1

West Ham — scoring streak (home)1

Brighton — winless run (away)3

Brighton — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Ham Win (1)30%

Draw (X)24%

Brighton Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 37%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%

58% -1.5 63%

74% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

West Ham vs Brighton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Ham — scored (home)1.42

West Ham — conceded (home)1.58

Brighton — scored (away)1.16

Brighton — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

West Ham — BTTS matches (home)58%

Brighton — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.563%

Under 9.537%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Ham (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.5

Brighton (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Ham

Brighton

11 12 8 15 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

West Ham (home)

For1.7

Brighton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

West Ham — total shots (home)11.1

Brighton — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

West Ham — on target (home)3.8

Brighton — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Ham

Inside the box7.79

Outside the box2.84

Brighton

Inside the box8.66

Outside the box4.37

Player Shots West Ham

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target33%

J. Bowen

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target16%

Lucas Paquetá

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target17%

C. Wilson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Summerville

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Brighton

D. Welbeck

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Hinshelwood

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Mitoma

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Groß

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham xG (home)1.22

Brighton xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

42.53% Possession 54.11%

Team Comparison West Ham vs Brighton

77.84% Pass accuracy 83.5%

367.32 Passes per match 476.47

-0.17 Goals prevented 0.04

11.08 Fouls committed 11.92

3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.79

1.89 Offsides 1.68

17.66 Tackles per match 17.76

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Ham vs Brighton prediction analysis

Review West Ham vs Brighton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights