What markets are included in the West Ham vs Chelsea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the West Ham vs Chelsea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: West Ham vs Chelsea

West Ham vs Chelsea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-09-21 11:30

West Ham

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Chelsea

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

24%

47%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

West Ham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Chelsea (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Ham

WLWDL

Chelsea

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 68%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Ham averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Chelsea averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

24%

Away Win

47%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 West Ham(A) 2 - 3 Chelsea Away

Aug 2025 West Ham 1 - 5 Chelsea Away

Feb 2025 West Ham(A) 1 - 2 Chelsea Away

Sep 2024 West Ham 0 - 3 Chelsea Away

May 2024 West Ham(A) 0 - 5 Chelsea Away

In the last 5 meetings, West Ham won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

West Ham — unbeaten run (home)0

West Ham — scoring streak (home)4

Chelsea — winless run (away)0

Chelsea — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Ham Win (1)29%

Draw (X)24%

Chelsea Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 68%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 32%

63% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 79%

95% -3.5 84%

100% -4.5 89%

West Ham vs Chelsea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Ham — scored (home)1.21

West Ham — conceded (home)1.79

Chelsea — scored (away)1.53

Chelsea — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

West Ham — BTTS matches (home)63%

Chelsea — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Ham (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.9

Chelsea (away)

Corners for5.8

Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Ham

9 4 13 15 4

Chelsea

12 9 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

West Ham (home)

For2.6

Chelsea (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

West Ham — total shots (home)11.7

Chelsea — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

West Ham — on target (home)3.7

Chelsea — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Ham

Inside the box8.84

Outside the box3.68

Chelsea

Inside the box10.37

Outside the box5.29

Player Shots West Ham

M. Kudus

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Kilman

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Bowen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target26%

Emerson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Antonio

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Chelsea

N. Madueke

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Palmer

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Chalobah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Pedro Neto

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham xG (home)1.26

Chelsea xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

48.63% Possession 57.18%

Team Comparison West Ham vs Chelsea

82.16% Pass accuracy 86.29%

444.29 Passes per match 520.5

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.11

11.66 Fouls committed 11.47

3.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.03

1.97 Offsides 1.76

17.21 Tackles per match 15.39

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Ham vs Chelsea prediction analysis

Review West Ham vs Chelsea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights