Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: West Ham vs Crystal Palace

West Ham vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-01-18 15:00
West Ham
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Crystal Palace
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
48%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

West Ham (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Crystal Palace (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

West Ham
WLWDL
Crystal Palace
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 84%
37% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

West Ham averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 West Ham(A) 0 - 0 Crystal Palace Draw
Sep 2025 West Ham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace Away
Jan 2025 West Ham 0 - 2 Crystal Palace Away
Aug 2024 West Ham(A) 2 - 0 Crystal Palace Home
Apr 2024 West Ham(A) 2 - 5 Crystal Palace Away

In the last 5 meetings, West Ham won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

West Ham — unbeaten run (home)0
West Ham — scoring streak (home)4
Crystal Palace — winless run (away)1
Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

West Ham Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Crystal Palace Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 84%
37% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 16%
63% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

West Ham vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

West Ham — scored (home)1.21
West Ham — conceded (home)1.79
Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.42
Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals3.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

West Ham — BTTS matches (home)63%
Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

West Ham (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Crystal Palace (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

West Ham
9 4 13 15 4
Crystal Palace
9 11 12 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

West Ham (home)

For2.6

Crystal Palace (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

West Ham — total shots (home)11.7
Crystal Palace — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

West Ham — on target (home)3.7
Crystal Palace — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

West Ham

Inside the box8.84
Outside the box3.68

Crystal Palace

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots West Ham

M. Kudus
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Kilman
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Bowen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target26%
Emerson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Antonio
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Crystal Palace

I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Chilwell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

West Ham xG (home)1.26
Crystal Palace xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

48.63% Possession 42.53%

Team Comparison West Ham vs Crystal Palace

82.16% Pass accuracy 76.21%
444.29 Passes per match 376.66
-0.18 Goals prevented 0.14
11.66 Fouls committed 10.97
3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.97 Offsides 2
17.21 Tackles per match 20.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

West Ham vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis

Review West Ham vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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